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Author Topic: Ukraine: What Crisis? Despite political turmoil, economic growth is roaring  (Read 397 times)
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« on: August 23, 02:59 AM »

The lesson: Political instability and economic crisis don't always go hand in hand, at least not in the former Soviet Union. Despite the standoff among Ukraine's politicians, the economy is booming and foreign investments continue to pour in.

Full article in Business Week: http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/aug2007/gb20070822_029442.htm?chan=globalbiz_europe+index+page_top+stories
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marktristan
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 06:23 AM »

Hmm..interesting article.  But massive alarm bells:

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The buying binge is being fueled by an explosion in consumer credit. Shiny new bank branches are sprouting around town (...) Last year, the volume of retail loans surged by 137%, to $15.5 billion.

That's the last thing you need in a potentially unstable country.  It's bad enough in places like UK, where nobody in the cities can afford a house without ludicrous borrowing, or USA where mortgage defaults are now having a knock-on effect on international stock markets.

Once credit gets going, the spiral is exceedingly hard to control.  And after all, what is credit but imaginary money based on economic confidence?   (and underpinned by oil and gas energy...)
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Tim
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« Reply #2 on: August 24, 06:32 AM »

That's the last thing you need in a potentially unstable country

On the other hand, instability is the last thing people encumbered with loans, debts and mortgages want. In the States average borrowing (including personal, company’s, and state’s debts) per capita (including infants and lunatics) about $ 100,000 and it’s very stable country, isn’t it?
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« Reply #3 on: August 24, 07:07 AM »

Nice point Tim, maybe it might bring stability, interesting theory.
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