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Author Topic: Cargo cult  (Read 493 times)
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Tim
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« on: August 16, 10:05 AM »

Cargo cult

There is something everyone wishing to understand Ukrainian political life needs to know. Ukrainian politics is based on a cargo cult.

If you’re not familiar with this term, Let me quote Wikipedia:

An isolated society's first contact with the outside world can be a shock — often the natives will first assume that the newcomers are spiritual beings of some kind who possess divine powers. With time, however, it will inevitably become apparent that the outsiders are mortal and that their power comes from their equipment (or cargo). Cargo cults tend to appear among people that covet this 'magical' equipment, but are unable to obtain it easily through trade. Given their relative isolation, the cult participants generally have little knowledge of modern manufacturing and are liable to be skeptical of Western explanations. Instead, symbols they associate with Christianity and modern Western society tend to be incorporated into their rituals as magical artifacts. Across cultural differences and large geographic areas, there have been instances of the movements independently organizing.

Famous examples of cargo cult activity include the setting up of mock airstrips, airports, offices and the fetishization and attempted construction of western goods, such as radios made of coconuts and straw. Believers may stage "drills" and "marches" with twigs for rifles and military-style insignia and "USA" painted on their bodies to make them look like soldiers, treating the activities of western military personnel as rituals to be performed for the purpose of attracting cargo. The cult members built these items and 'facilities' in the belief that the structures would attract cargo. This perception has reportedly been reinforced by the occasional success of an 'airport' to attract military transport aircraft full of cargo.

What happened in Ukraine is very close to this description. The soviet society had been isolated from the West for decades and these were decades when Western democracies were established as we know them or significantly changed so the soviets didn’t really know what democracy was. But they were quite well-educated (or they thought they were), they listened to western radiostations (like “Svoboda”) constantly talking about democracy and later on, during “perestroika”, accompanied by the soviet mass media. So 15-20 years ago, when the USSR was coming to its collapse, the soviets widely believed and, in fact, were advised by many Western experts (or self-constituted experts) that democracy was kind of a magical remedy capable of curing all social diseases existed (or allegedly existed) in the Soviet Union at that time. And to the people, democracy consisted of free elections with multiple parties (and there had to be neither Communist Party nor KGB, of course). Exactly, as it was on the West as they imagined.

In 1991, when the Soviet Union collapsed they got everything they had dreamed about but somehow it didn’t happen to work. The major achievement was complete corruption affecting the entire country and it became the biggest problem and challenge to politicians. The people many times have supported those who promised to fight the corruption. For example, it’s not generally acceptable to recall that fact now but Mr.Kuchma got his presidency mainly due to promises to stop corruption and put thieves in jails. It never happened. The story recurred in 2004 when Mr.Yuschenko got his presidency mainly due to promises to stop corruption and put thieves in jails. It didn’t happen either. Such promises have been made by many politicians during these years including all current heroes (like Timoshenko, Yanukovich, Moroz, Lutsenko, etc). Never happened.

So it’s been 16 years of unsuccessful attempts to make democracy work in Ukraine and it still doesn’t. It’s been 16 years of unsuccessful attempts to make corruption extinct in Ukraine and it still is. Is that because the copy was not precise and a few corrections (to the constitution, for example) can help or is that because democracy isn’t just “free elections with multiple parties” and blind imitating the West cannot do any good?
« Last Edit: August 16, 10:23 AM by Tim » Logged
Claus
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« Reply #1 on: August 16, 10:41 AM »

Well, I think - and this is very simplified, of course  Cool! - that too much was expected too fast. Democracy (in a functioning variant), welfare, and wealth do not come from day to day, just because some new person becomes president or prime minister.
Again I'll take my own country as an example: First 'free' constitution 1849; parlamentarism (meaning that the government must step down if it has a majority in parlament against it) from 1901; womens right to vote (municipal goverment only, not parlament yet) 1908; social reform slowly and gradually implemented over the next 50 years; farewell to poverty around 1955; 'welfare-society' and 'wealth-to-all' more or less accomplished by 1965 (which was too fast, so deeeep crisis from around 1975 until around 2000).
All politicians (at least all I ever heard about) everywhere always make promises they can not realistically fulfil, or they are not (re)elected.
The issue is, that in West Europe we know that, most of us at least, but in the former Soviet empire (including quite a few states who are now members of the EU) most people do not (yet) know that.
It is like this: If we (the electorate) refrain from thinking and will only vote for people who promise what we should know is unrealistic - then we have to accept that the elected ones make whatever deals they think relevant, and even that some of them might mean well and have altruistic intentions with the deals, sometimes.. Undecided
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Packman
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« Reply #2 on: August 16, 10:51 AM »

Hey Tim, what party did you found?  Where are you on the ballet.  I'll tell my Ukrainian friends to vote for you...oh first are you a prostitute or a convicted fellon?
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ecocks
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« Reply #3 on: August 16, 11:30 AM »

I'll grant there are a couple of VERY generalized similarities to the cargo cult phenomenon but this is nothing like the islanders of the South Pacific, Australian aborigines or South American tribes where that was documented.  That said, I'll also say that the first (and second) waves of advisors and consultants tried to do too much, too fast resulting in more than a little chaos.  Still, I don't see that democracy or even free market economics have totally failed.  I have heard from some of the older population who have voiced that thought yet many of the people are beginning to travel and raise questions why their economy has not progressed at the same rate as Bulgaria, Poland, Czech Republic and Romania.  It would be wonderful if their government was called to task for those failures and lack of satisfactory progress. 

So, what is the problem?  Nothing (in my opinion) really.  While it is painful for those living through that time, this period seems roughly analogous to the robber-baron stage of development that the US and other countries have experienced.  I have advised my advanced students to read Sinclair Lewis?, The Jungle and see if anything sounds familiar.  Personally, I consider the economic situation here to be about equivalent to the late 1800's in the US.  I am sure it could also be compared in a similar fashion to other nations' timelines.  The only thing that probably jars Americans is the degree of penetration of oligarchs in the government.  While we had a few elected officials who sought to profit while in office, there was nothing like the degree of wealth attained by elected officials here.  The only areas of the world I recall with similar situations would have been the Central and South American governments.  Given how some of them have turned out, it might have been a good thing if those western advisors and studied failures of democratization and free economy transitions instead of once again trying to force-feed theory into reality.

The real question that has me curious/concerned is whether the proper steps will be taken to change course to avoid Ukraine becoming another Venzuela.  I find enormous potential and promise here when I talk to the average people.  In fact, as I have said before, I find the Westerners to be more disappointing than the Ukrainians.  NOTE: That statement doesn't cover EVERY expat so don't get your nose out of joint -- unless of course you're feeling guilty about the way you act or have treated people lately.

Ed
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Packman
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« Reply #4 on: August 16, 01:47 PM »

I should hope that the education level here should assist in preventing another Latin American style country...but I guess time will tell.
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Tim
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« Reply #5 on: August 24, 08:06 AM »

ecocks

Cargo cults have a few features which make them quite unique and let us recognize them. These are:
1. People think they deserve much better
2. People think changes for the better will come from the outside world from peculiar things
3. People don’t really understand how that these things work
4. People try to make these things come by imitating them
5. They don’t give up.

And you can find amazing similarities if you talk to the locals, especially out of luxurious offices. #1, 2, and 4 should be clear for anyone familiar with today's Ukraine. Let me develop #3 a bit.

I left Ukraine in 1992 and came again in 2003 and I didn’t really watch Ukraine in the interim so I sort of jumped from 1992 to 2003 and it gave me quite a unique opportunity to compare what soviet-era “democrats” wanted and what they got. I don’t mean their general wishes like happiness for everyone and so on but rather what they considered as measures needed to be done to achieve their wishes.

Basically everything they wanted to be done back then had been done by 2003. Free elections with multiple parties, Ukraine as an independent state with Ukrainian as a government language, legal private property and capitalism, free currency, free speech and press, free leaving the country, full counters in supermarkets, etc. The only missing thing was a jury trial but I never heard anyone was ever complaining about this.

So you can imagine how I was surprised when guys from my team started all those political talks in 2004 and were going to Maidan every second days. I hadn’t been interested in local news since my coming in 2003 so I had no idea about Timoshenko, Yuschenko and so on. I thought if people got everything they wanted they had no reason to complain. Surprisingly, my guys were saying “democracy isn't real”, “elections were all fake”, “free speech is rather an imitation”, etc, etc, etc. I could understand this. What I could NOT understand is why the guys wanted to implement basically the same measures their predecessors had already tried and which had already failed based on their own words. I couldn’t see any difference between wanting “democracy” in 1991 and wanting “real democracy” in 2004 keeping in mind the predecessors didn’t mean “fake democracy”, did they?

I think if a way didn’t bring you to your aim you should carefully revise and find why it didn’t work out before taking the same road again. Moreover, finding reasons isn’t enough, you also need at least to make sure the same reasons wouldn’t affect your way again. And you want to be really smart you need to foresee other problems which may arise.

Instead of doing this, the guys as well as many other people around were talking about “free elections” - like their predecessors 15 years ago. They were talking about “preventing falsifications” - like their predecessors 15 years ago. They were talking about “free speech and free press” - like their predecessors 15 years ago. No wonder the guys supported Yuschenko and Timoshenko promising everything and no wonder “new criminal power” didn’t meet their expectations. I told the guys then this's not going to work and they were smiling. Somehow they don’t smile anymore. The results we see now are that unsatisfactory as their predecessors got.

And about #5. Recently, I was giving a ride to a man who was complaining he voted in 2004 for Orangemen, they won but nothing really changed to the better (due to their efforts), that he voted in 2006 for Regional Party and they also won and nothing also changed to the better, bla-bla-bla. I asked him how many time he had voted (during Ukrainian independency), and he said 8 or 9 times and results always were unsatisfactory. I asked him who would be his favorite in September and he responded. Then I asked him why the hell he would vote in September if voting had never worked for him and what made him believe this time things would go another way. He couldn’t answer and he seemed to be getting really angry at me for asking this. I have done similar tests a few more times and it seems people here just believe in voting as a magical procedure and have no clue how democracy is really supposed to work, not just look like working. And they don't like people doubting their believe.

Don't tell me it's not a cargo cult.
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